METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Lightweight
VS
92%
Trinaldo
8%
Ronson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jesse Ronson · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Trinaldo is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trinaldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ronson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoRonson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Ronson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
70"
48
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Ronson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
2.6
48.6
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Trinaldo
Ronson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.3
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
5
Body
3
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance10
1Clinch2
9Ground0
Trinaldo
Ronson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Ronson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Trinaldo
Ronson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Ronson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Ronson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TrinaldoRonson
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRonson
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (40% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Ronson targets the head (58% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Ronson
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Ronson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joaquim SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Rafa GarciaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Upcoming
Nicolas DalbyUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02