★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas
Las Vegas, USA
28 Sept 2001
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Ortiz
40%
Matyushenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ortiz
Ortiz holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Matyushenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matyushenko has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
51+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
13.5
57.3
Performance Avg
47.3
57
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
20
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/35 fights
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
43%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Matyushenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
OrtizMatyushenko
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMatyushenko
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Matyushenko targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Matyushenko
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Matyushenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Matyushenko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08