UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Baraniewski
39%
Aslan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:29
Iwo
Iwo Baraniewski
"Rudy"
8 – 0
6'0"73" reachOrthodox27 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Ibo
Ibo Aslan
"The Last Ottoman"
14 – 4
Knockout Artist3-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Baraniewski

Baraniewski holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Aslan has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Aslan throws more volume but Baraniewski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Aslan has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Baraniewski
Aslan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
27+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baraniewski
Aslan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
53.7
76.0
Performance Avg
49.0
60
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
46
Baraniewski
Aslan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.8
71%
Strike Accuracy
53%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
29
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance19
6Clinch11
10Ground0
Baraniewski
Aslan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Baraniewski
Aslan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/8 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Baraniewski
Aslan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Baraniewski
Aslan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baraniewski
Aslan
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume2.0 / 0.8Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Baraniewski
Strike Zones
Aslan
Baraniewski
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Aslan
Attacking
29HEAD0BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baraniewski targets the head (82% of attacks) — Aslan absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Aslan targets the head (97% of attacks) — Baraniewski absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baraniewski
RND
Aslan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Baraniewski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.9W5.0W2025-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Aslan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5W5.0W1.8L7.1L3.9L2024-032024-102025-022025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Baraniewski · Last 3

Upcoming
Billy Elekana
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

Aslan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Billy ElekanaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anton TurkaljRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Iwo Baraniewski · Ibo Aslan
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