UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
41%
Bochniak
59%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KB
Kyle Bochniak
"Killer B"
8 – 5
5'7"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
BD
Brandon Davis
"Killer B"
14 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bochniak at 41% vs Davis at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Davis has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bochniak
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bochniak
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.0
17.5
26.4
Performance Avg
31.2
25
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
15
Bochniak
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
30%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
2
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance11
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Bochniak
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bochniak
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Bochniak
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Bochniak
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bochniak
Davis
Striking0.6 / 0.4Volume8.6 / 4.4Grappling2.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure0.9 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Bochniak
Strike Zones
Davis
Bochniak
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bochniak targets the head (85% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bochniak absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bochniak
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0

Bochniak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.6L6.6L2016-012017-072018-042019-10
WinLossTrend

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W6.4L6.5L2.1L5.5L2018-012018-092019-092022-10
WinLossTrend

Bochniak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

Davis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Randy CostaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04

News & Media

Kyle Bochniak · Brandon Davis
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