UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
65%
Pennington
35%
Waterson-Gomez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tecia
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
15 – 8
5'1"60" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Michelle
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pennington

Pennington holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Waterson-Gomez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Waterson-Gomez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
60"
Reach
+62"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
26.5
39.8
Performance Avg
36.8
28
Quality of Victory
35
89
Momentum Score
0
Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
13
7
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance16
1Clinch3
15Ground1
Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/31 fights
Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pennington
Waterson-Gomez
Striking1.2 / 0.8Volume7.7 / 6.1Grappling2.7 / 4.3Wrestling1.9 / 3.0Submission0.9 / 3.3Pressure2.4 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Pennington
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Pennington
Attacking
34HEAD7BODY1LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD6BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
13HEAD6BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD7BODY1LEGS42 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (81% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the head (65% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pennington
RND
Waterson-Gomez
0/0R00/0

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.6W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.5W6.3L5.5L7.3L6.2L4.5W4.7W4.6W6.7L6.2L4.8W4.5W6.8L2014-122017-072019-082024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Waterson-Gomez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.0W4.2L6.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.8L4.6W6.2L3.8L5.5L3.4L6.7L2015-072018-042020-052023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04

Waterson-Gomez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

News & Media

Tecia Pennington · Michelle Waterson-Gomez
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