METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Lightweight
VS
73%
Leavitt
27%
Sayles
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:05
★ Official Result
Jordan LeavittwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:05
def. Matt Sayles · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leavitt
→
Actual result
Leavitt wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Leavitt is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Leavitt's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeavittSayles
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leavitt
Sayles
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
68"
31+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leavitt
Sayles
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
23.2
51.4
Performance Avg
37.0
46
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
22
Leavitt
Sayles
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.8
3.9
Style: Volume
0.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance9
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Leavitt
Sayles
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leavitt
Sayles
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Leavitt
Sayles
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leavitt
Sayles
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leavitt
Sayles
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
LeavittSayles
Strike Zones
Leavitt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSayles
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leavitt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sayles absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sayles targets the body (67% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leavitt
RND
Sayles
0/0R00/0
Leavitt · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joanderson BritoSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Sayles · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Jordan LeavittSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · Sub · R1
Bryce MitchellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R3
Kyle NelsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Sheymon MoraesDecision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08