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UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
88%
Griffin
12%
Mahood
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
FG
Forrest Griffin
197
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
BM
Bill Mahood
"The Butcher"
207
Well-Rounded59 yrsOrthodox6'3"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Forrest GriffinwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:18
def. Bill Mahood · UFC 53: Heavy Hitters

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
Actual result
Griffin wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Griffin is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Griffin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GriffinMahood
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Griffin
Mahood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Mahood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
2.5
52.0
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Griffin
Mahood
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.9
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Griffin
Mahood
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Mahood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/27 fights
Griffin
Mahood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Griffin
Mahood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Mahood
Striking2.3 / 0.0Volume6.9 / 0.0Grappling3.3 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Griffin
Strike Zones
Mahood
Griffin
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Mahood
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mahood absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mahood targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Mahood
0/0R00/0

Griffin · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tito Ortiz
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio Rua
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich Franklin
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito Ortiz
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson Silva
KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

Mahood · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Forrest Griffin
Submission
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

News & Media

Forrest Griffin · Bill Mahood
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