UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
88%
Griffin
12%
Mahood
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:18
FG
Forrest Griffin
19 – 7
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
BM
Bill Mahood
"The Butcher"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded59 yrsOrthodox6'3"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

Griffin is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Griffin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Mahood connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin
Mahood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Mahood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
2.5
52.0
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Griffin
Mahood
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
100%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Griffin
Mahood
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Mahood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/27 fights
Griffin
Mahood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Griffin
Mahood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Mahood
Striking2.3 / 0.0Volume6.9 / 0.0Grappling3.3 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Griffin
Strike Zones
Mahood
Griffin
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Mahood
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mahood absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mahood targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Mahood
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5W4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W2005-042006-082008-072011-022012-07
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

Mahood · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Forrest GriffinRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

News & Media

Forrest Griffin · Bill Mahood
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