★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Cormier
47%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cormier
This is a genuine toss-up — Cormier at 53% vs Johnson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Cormier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cormier
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
23.1
68.1
Performance Avg
60.4
61
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
100
Cormier
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
0
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
9Clinch3
14Ground0
Cormier
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cormier
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
18
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Cormier
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Cormier
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
85%
3
KO / TKO Wins
11
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cormier
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
CormierJohnson
Strike Zones
Cormier
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (92% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cormier
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Cormier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05