METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Jorgensen
52%
Gamburyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SJ
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15 – 12
5'5"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Manvel GamburyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Scott Jorgensen · UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gamburyan
→
Actual result
Gamburyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 48% vs Gamburyan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gamburyan has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JorgensenGamburyan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.1
37.9
Performance Avg
40.4
41
Quality of Victory
39
54
Momentum Score
63
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.8
4.7
Style: Volume
4.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
4
Body
3
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance21
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Striking3.2 / 0.9Volume4.7 / 4.9Grappling3.2 / 5.2Wrestling2.2 / 3.6Submission2.5 / 5.0Pressure4.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Jorgensen
Strike Zones
Gamburyan
Jorgensen
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY5LEGS22 absorbed
Gamburyan
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY5LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (59% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (64% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jorgensen
RND
Gamburyan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jorgensen · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alejandro Perez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel Gamburyan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson Reis
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny Martinez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier Formiga
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny Eduardo
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John Dodson
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott Jorgensen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody Gibson
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik Lentz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

News & Media

Scott Jorgensen · Manvel Gamburyan
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