UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Jorgensen
52%
Gamburyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SJ
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15 – 12
5'5"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gamburyan

This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 48% vs Gamburyan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jorgensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gamburyan has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.1
37.9
Performance Avg
40.4
41
Quality of Victory
39
54
Momentum Score
63
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
4
Body
3
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance21
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jorgensen
Gamburyan
Striking3.2 / 0.9Volume4.7 / 4.9Grappling3.2 / 5.2Wrestling2.2 / 3.6Submission2.5 / 5.0Pressure4.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Jorgensen
Strike Zones
Gamburyan
Jorgensen
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY5LEGS22 absorbed
Gamburyan
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY5LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (59% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (64% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jorgensen
RND
Gamburyan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jorgensen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W3.4L5.5L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L2011-062012-062013-122014-102015-11
WinLossTrend

Gamburyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062009-012013-082016-042016-11
WinLossTrend

Jorgensen · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

News & Media

Scott Jorgensen · Manvel Gamburyan
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