UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Featherweight
VS
89%
Brandao
11%
Gambino
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Diego Brandao
"DB"
22 – 11
5'7"64" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
JG
Joey Gambino
"The Raging Warrior"
9 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brandao

Brandao is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brandao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Brandao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brandao
Gambino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
64"
Reach
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brandao
Gambino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
2.4
53.4
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Brandao
Gambino
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
1
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance15
0Clinch0
2Ground4
Brandao
Gambino
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brandao
Gambino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Brandao
Gambino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Brandao
Gambino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brandao
Gambino
Striking2.9 / 0.0Volume3.9 / 0.0Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.4 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Brandao
Strike Zones
Gambino
Brandao
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Gambino
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (88% of attacks) — Gambino absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Gambino targets the head (68% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brandao
RND
Gambino
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Brandao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.4W2.8L3.5L4.0W5.0W5.4L2011-122013-042014-072016-01
WinLossTrend

Gambino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2012-062012-10
WinLossTrend

Brandao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12

Gambino · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Diego BrandaoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Steven SilerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06

News & Media

Diego Brandao · Joey Gambino
← Back to fights