METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Middleweight
VS
60%
Bisping
40%
Henderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael BispingwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Dan Henderson · UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bisping
→
Actual result
Bisping wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Bisping holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.
Risk flags
Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Henderson has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BispingHenderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bisping
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
47+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
13.8
55.3
Performance Avg
49.5
46
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
20
Bisping
Henderson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.4
Style: Volume
5.4
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
3
Body
2
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance15
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Bisping
Henderson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bisping
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
18/47 fights
Bisping
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Bisping
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
44%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bisping
Henderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
BispingHenderson
Strike Zones
Bisping
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedHenderson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (77% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bisping
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bisping · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreSubmission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonDecision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
Henderson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingDecision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardKO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01