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β˜… Championship Bout Β· Middleweight
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Middleweight
VS
60%
Bisping
40%
Henderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 Β· 5:00
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
6'1"75" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
DH
Dan Henderson
"Hendo"
32 – 15
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 14
β˜… Official Result
Michael BispingwinsDecisionR5 Β· 5:00
def. Dan Henderson Β· UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bisping
β†’
Actual result
Bisping wins
Decision Β· R5
Pre-fight analysis

Bisping holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings β€” but Henderson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Striking split: Bisping throws more volume but Henderson connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Henderson has a chin rating of 2 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BispingHenderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Bisping
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
47+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
13.8
55.3
Performance Avg
49.5
46
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
20
Bisping
Henderson
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.7
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
3
Body
2
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance15
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Bisping
Henderson
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bisping
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
18/47 fights
Bisping
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
Bisping
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
44%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bisping
Henderson
Striking6.4 / 5.4Volume5.4 / 5.4Grappling1.2 / 1.3Wrestling0.8 / 0.9Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Bisping
Strike Zones
Henderson
Bisping
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Henderson
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (77% of attacks) β€” Henderson absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the head (56% of attacks) β€” Bisping absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Bisping
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bisping Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Henderson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W4.2W5.5L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W5.5L1998-052009-012013-112015-112016-10
WinLossTrend

Bisping Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum Β· 2017-11
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre Β· 2017-11
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson Β· 2016-10
W Β· KO Β· R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Β· 2016-06
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping Β· 2016-02

Henderson Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson Β· 2016-10
W Β· KO Β· R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Β· 2016-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 Β· 2015-11
W Β· KO Β· R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson Β· 2015-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson Β· 2015-01

News & Media

Michael Bisping Β· Dan Henderson
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