★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Middleweight
VS
60%
Bisping
40%
Henderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
6'1"75" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
DH
Dan Henderson
"Hendo"
32 – 15
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bisping

Bisping holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Striking split: Bisping throws more volume but Henderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Henderson has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bisping
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
47+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
13.8
55.3
Performance Avg
49.5
46
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
20
Bisping
Henderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
3
Body
2
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance15
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Bisping
Henderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bisping
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
18/47 fights
Bisping
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Bisping
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
44%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bisping
Henderson
Striking6.4 / 5.4Volume5.4 / 5.4Grappling1.2 / 1.3Wrestling0.8 / 0.9Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Bisping
Strike Zones
Henderson
Bisping
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Henderson
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (77% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bisping
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bisping · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W4.2W5.5L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W5.5L1998-052009-012013-112015-112016-10
WinLossTrend

Bisping · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Henderson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Michael Bisping · Dan Henderson
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