UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
65%
Vannata
35%
Medeiros
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vannata
Vannata holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Medeiros has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Medeiros throws more volume but Vannata connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vannata's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vannata
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+75"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vannata
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.9
24.4
37.9
Performance Avg
45.4
41
Quality of Victory
47
70
Momentum Score
39
Vannata
Medeiros
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
44%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
16
11
Body
4
12
Leg
4
RangeRange
36Distance22
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Vannata
Medeiros
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vannata
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Vannata
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Vannata
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vannata
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
VannataMedeiros
Strike Zones
Vannata
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vannata targets the head (36% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vannata absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vannata
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
Vannata · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Medeiros · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Vannata · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike GrundyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
