UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
43%
Musoke
57%
Tumenov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NM
Nicholas Musoke
"Nico"
13 – 5
6'0"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AT
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tumenov

This is a genuine toss-up — Musoke at 43% vs Tumenov at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tumenov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Tumenov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Musoke
Tumenov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Musoke
Tumenov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
20.6
40.8
Performance Avg
52.6
35
Quality of Victory
46
53
Momentum Score
76
Musoke
Tumenov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
32
6
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance32
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Musoke
Tumenov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Musoke
Tumenov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
8/22 fights
Musoke
Tumenov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Musoke
Tumenov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Musoke
Tumenov
Striking1.0 / 7.3Volume6.3 / 4.5Grappling4.3 / 1.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Musoke
Strike Zones
Tumenov
Musoke
Attacking
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD1BODY1LEGS34 absorbed
Tumenov
Attacking
32HEAD1BODY1LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Musoke targets the head (59% of attacks) — Tumenov absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Tumenov targets the head (94% of attacks) — Musoke absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Musoke
RND
Tumenov
0/0R00/0

Musoke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5L4.0L2013-102014-022014-062014-102015-012017-05
WinLossTrend

Tumenov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L5.1L2014-022014-102015-102016-052016-10
WinLossTrend

Musoke · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Bojan VelickovicRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

Tumenov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Nicholas Musoke · Albert Tumenov
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