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UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Middleweight
VS
50%
Okami
50%
Boetsch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 0:54
YO
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
34 – 12
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17
β˜… Official Result
Tim BoetschwinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 0:54
def. Yushin Okami Β· UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Okami
β†’
Actual result
Boetsch wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Okami at 50% vs Boetsch at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 10 points.

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Okami's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
OkamiBoetsch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Okami
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
44+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Okami
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
16.6
46.5
Performance Avg
46.0
33
Quality of Victory
43
78
Momentum Score
69
Okami
Boetsch
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
20
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch11
0Ground5
Okami
Boetsch
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Okami
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Okami
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
78
69
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R1
Okami
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Okami
Boetsch
Striking4.2 / 6.8Volume6.5 / 4.3Grappling1.5 / 1.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Okami
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Okami
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD1BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Boetsch
Attacking
20HEAD1BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (95% of attacks) β€” Okami absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Okami
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Okami Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L4.0L5.2W4.5W4.5W1.5L2.1L4.5W5.5L2006-082008-032011-082017-092018-12
WinLossTrend

Boetsch Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Okami Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa Β· 2018-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Dhiego LimaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje Β· 2018-04
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami Β· 2017-09
L Β· KO Β· R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader Β· 2013-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann Β· 2013-03

Boetsch Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-03
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje Β· 2018-04
W Β· KO Β· R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee Β· 2017-06
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie Β· 2017-02
W Β· KO Β· R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor Β· 2016-11

News & Media

Yushin Okami Β· Tim Boetsch
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