UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Middleweight
VS
50%
Okami
50%
Boetsch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Okami
This is a genuine toss-up — Okami at 50% vs Boetsch at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Boetsch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Okami's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Okami
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
44+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Okami
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
16.6
46.5
Performance Avg
46.0
33
Quality of Victory
43
78
Momentum Score
69
Okami
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
20
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch11
0Ground5
Okami
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Okami
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Okami
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Okami
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Okami
Boetsch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
OkamiBoetsch
Strike Zones
Okami
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedBoetsch
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (95% of attacks) — Okami absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Okami
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Okami · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Okami · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Dhiego LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11