METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2022
Lightweight
VS
65%
Leavitt
35%
Ogden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jordan LeavittwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Trey Ogden · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leavitt
→
Actual result
Leavitt wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Leavitt holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Ogden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Leavitt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Leavitt's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeavittOgden
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leavitt
Ogden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
31+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leavitt
Ogden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
33.5
51.4
Performance Avg
35.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
40
Leavitt
Ogden
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
1.5
3.9
Style: Volume
9.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Leavitt
Ogden
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leavitt
Ogden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Leavitt
Ogden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Leavitt
Ogden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leavitt
Ogden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
LeavittOgden
Strike Zones
Leavitt
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedOgden
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leavitt targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ogden targets the head (63% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leavitt
RND
Ogden
0/0R00/0
Leavitt · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joanderson BritoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Ogden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loik RadzhabovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Upcoming
Nikolas MottaUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04