UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2022
Lightweight
VS
63%
Leavitt
37%
Ogden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jordan
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
13 – 3
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Trey
Trey Ogden
"Shamurai"
18 – 7
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Leavitt

Leavitt holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Ogden has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Leavitt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Striking split: Ogden throws more volume but Leavitt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Leavitt
Ogden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leavitt
Ogden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
37.3
54.0
Performance Avg
35.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
40
Leavitt
Ogden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Leavitt
Ogden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leavitt
Ogden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Leavitt
Ogden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Leavitt
Ogden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leavitt
Ogden
Striking4.7 / 1.0Volume4.0 / 9.0Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Leavitt
Strike Zones
Ogden
Leavitt
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Ogden
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leavitt targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ogden targets the head (63% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leavitt
RND
Ogden
0/0R00/0

Leavitt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W6.4L5.2W4.6W4.5L5.0W2.3L5.0W6.3W2020-122022-042023-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Ogden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L4.9W6.8L4.5W5.0W5.7L2022-042022-092023-042024-032024-072025-01
WinLossTrend

Leavitt · Last 5

Upcoming
Joanderson Brito
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

Ogden · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loik RadzhabovRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Upcoming
Nikolas Motta
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

News & Media

Jordan Leavitt · Trey Ogden
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