METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Lightweight
VS
95%
Martins
5%
Larsen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:13
★ Official Result
Lucas MartinswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:13
def. Jeremy Larsen · UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martins
→
Actual result
Martins wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Martins is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Larsen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Martins's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Larsen has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinsLarsen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martins
Larsen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martins
Larsen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
1.0
49.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Martins
Larsen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Martins
Larsen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martins
Larsen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Martins
Larsen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Martins
Larsen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martins
Larsen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MartinsLarsen
Strike Zones
Martins
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLarsen
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Larsen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Larsen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martins
RND
Larsen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Martins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Larsen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Martins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhitefordRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Mirsad BekticRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · KO · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Ramiro HernandezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
Larsen · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Andre FiliRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · KO · R3
Lucas MartinsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · KO · R1
Joe ProctorRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06