METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Lightweight
VS
95%
Martins
5%
Larsen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:13
★ Official Result
Lucas MartinswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:13
def. Jeremy Larsen · UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martins
→
Actual result
Martins wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Martins is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Risk flags
Martins's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Larsen has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinsLarsen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martins
Larsen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martins
Larsen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
1.0
49.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Martins
Larsen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.1
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Martins
Larsen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martins
Larsen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Martins
Larsen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Martins
Larsen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martins
Larsen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MartinsLarsen
Strike Zones
Martins
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLarsen
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Larsen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Larsen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martins
RND
Larsen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Martins · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Robert WhitefordDecision
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W · Sub · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
Larsen · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Andre FiliKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · KO · R3
Lucas MartinsKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · KO · R1
Joe ProctorKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06