Ashley Yoder vs Mackenzie Dern — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya

Las Vegas, USA

3 Mar 2018

Women's Strawweight

25%

Yoder

75%

Dern

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Ashley Yoder

"SpiderMonkey"

8 – 9

5'7"69" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 21

Mackenzie Dern

16 – 5

Well-Rounded4-fight win streak33 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"

CFR 60

★ Official Result

Mackenzie DernwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Ashley Yoder · UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Dern

→

Actual result

Dern wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Dern is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dern has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

YoderDern

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Yoder

Dern

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'4"

69"+

Reach

63"

Age

+33

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Yoder

Dern

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

20.6

60.4

25.9

Performance Avg

52.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Yoder

Dern

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

1.4

/ 10

0.8

Style: Pressure

5.0

8.6

Style: Volume

6.1

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

7Distance10

3Clinch6

0Ground8

Yoder

Dern

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

4.7

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.3

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.2

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Yoder

Dern

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/17 fights

Chin rating based on

17/21 fights

Yoder

Dern

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Yoder

Dern

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

42%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yoder

Dern

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.4

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.7

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.3

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.2

0.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

8.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.1

Yoder

Strike Zones

Dern

Yoder

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Dern

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Yoder targets the head (60% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Dern targets the head (63% of attacks) — Yoder absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yoder

RND

Dern

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Yoder · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Emily Ducote

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Jinh Yu Frey

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

L · Dec · R3

Angela Hill

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03

W · Dec · R3

Miranda Granger

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11

L · Dec · R3

Livinha Souza

Decision

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

Dern · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Gillian Robertson

Decision

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

W · Dec · R5

Virna Jandiroba

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · Sub · R3

Amanda Ribas

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

W · Dec · R3

Loopy Godinez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Amanda Lemos

Decision

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Ashley Yoder · Mackenzie Dern

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