UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Middleweight
VS
54%
Ferreira
46%
Dollaway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ferreira
This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 54% vs Dollaway at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dollaway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ferreira
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
14.3
49.5
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
51
Ferreira
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Ferreira
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Ferreira
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
36%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferreira
Dollaway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
FerreiraDollaway
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedDollaway
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Dollaway targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferreira
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Dollaway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Ferreira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
Dollaway · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04