UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Lightweight
VS
49%
Martin
51%
Case
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AR
Anthony Rocco Martin
17 – 6
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JC
Johnny Case
"Hollywood"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Case

This is a genuine toss-up — Martin at 49% vs Case at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Case throws more volume but Martin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Martin's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martin
Case
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Martin
Case
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
18.5
45.3
Performance Avg
49.1
35
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
58
Martin
Case
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
14
1
Body
8
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
32Distance25
1Clinch1
2Ground0
Martin
Case
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martin
Case
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Martin
Case
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Martin
Case
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martin
Case
Striking2.3 / 3.8Volume5.6 / 5.3Grappling4.0 / 3.2Wrestling2.8 / 2.2Submission3.3 / 2.5Pressure4.9 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Martin
Strike Zones
Case
Martin
Attacking
31HEAD1BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD8BODY4LEGS26 absorbed
Case
Attacking
14HEAD8BODY4LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD1BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Martin targets the head (89% of attacks) — Case absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Case targets the head (54% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martin
RND
Case
0/0R00/0

Martin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L3.7L5.0W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W6.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.1L2014-022016-012018-042019-062020-06
WinLossTrend

Case · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W4.5W4.5W5.0L5.5L2014-092015-012015-062015-112016-032017-06
WinLossTrend

Martin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12

Case · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Yan CabralRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrevinoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R3
Frankie PerezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Anthony Rocco Martin · Johnny Case
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