UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Featherweight
VS
44%
Corassani
56%
Sicilia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:26
AC
Akira Corassani
12 – 6
5'8"68" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
SS
Sam Sicilia
15 – 8
Striker3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sicilia

This is a genuine toss-up — Corassani at 44% vs Sicilia at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sicilia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Sicilia throws more volume but Corassani connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Corassani's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sicilia has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Corassani
Sicilia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"+
Reach
67"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Corassani
Sicilia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.6
16.0
36.0
Performance Avg
43.7
27
Quality of Victory
45
55
Momentum Score
59
Corassani
Sicilia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
1
Body
3
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Corassani
Sicilia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Corassani
Sicilia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
16
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Corassani
Sicilia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Corassani
Sicilia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Corassani
Sicilia
Striking1.0 / 6.8Volume6.3 / 4.0Grappling1.6 / 1.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Corassani
Strike Zones
Sicilia
Corassani
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY4LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Sicilia
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY4LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Corassani targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sicilia targets the head (60% of attacks) — Corassani absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Corassani
RND
Sicilia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Corassani · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W4.5W4.0W4.1L2.6L1.5L2012-092013-042013-112014-042014-102015-01
WinLossTrend

Sicilia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L5.0W4.5W3.3L2.9L5.5L2012-062013-112014-092015-112017-02
WinLossTrend

Corassani · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Sam SiciliaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · R1
Maximo BlancoRating 4
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

Sicilia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Akira Corassani · Sam Sicilia
← Back to fights