UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Nashville, USA
23 Mar 2019
Flyweight
VS
21%
Formiga
79%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
Figueiredo is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Figueiredo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Figueiredo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Figueiredo has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Formiga
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"
Reach
+68"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Formiga
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
56.4
42.7
Performance Avg
57.9
34
Quality of Victory
50
64
Momentum Score
55
Formiga
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Formiga
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Formiga
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
22/31 fights
Formiga
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Formiga
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Formiga
Figueiredo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
FormigaFigueiredo
Strike Zones
Formiga
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedFigueiredo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the head (100% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Formiga
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
Formiga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Formiga · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
