METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
34%
Moraes
66%
Means
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Means · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Means holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Moraes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Means has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesMeans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Means
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Means
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
36.5
47.0
Performance Avg
45.2
37
Quality of Victory
41
95
Momentum Score
40
Moraes
Means
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
2.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
49
6
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
38Distance54
0Clinch1
0Ground3
Moraes
Means
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraes
Means
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
30/50 fights
Moraes
Means
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Moraes
Means
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
53%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Means
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MoraesMeans
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedMeans
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Means absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Means targets the head (84% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Means
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10