METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
34%
Moraes
66%
Means
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio MoraeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Means · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
→
Actual result
Moraes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Means holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Moraes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Means has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesMeans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Means
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Means
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
36.5
47.0
Performance Avg
45.2
37
Quality of Victory
41
95
Momentum Score
40
Moraes
Means
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.3
5.2
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
49
6
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
38Distance54
0Clinch1
0Ground3
Moraes
Means
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Means
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
30/50 fights
Moraes
Means
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Moraes
Means
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
53%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Means
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MoraesMeans
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedMeans
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Means absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Means targets the head (84% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Means
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
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