UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
38%
Whitmire
62%
Goldy
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Goldy
Goldy holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Whitmire has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goldy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Goldy throws more volume but Whitmire connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Whitmire's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Whitmire
Goldy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
63"+
Reach
61"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whitmire
Goldy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
36.1
37.0
Performance Avg
40.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
39
Whitmire
Goldy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
2
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
5Distance9
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Whitmire
Goldy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Whitmire
Goldy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
5/10 fights
Whitmire
Goldy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Whitmire
Goldy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whitmire
Goldy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
WhitmireGoldy
Strike Zones
Whitmire
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGoldy
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whitmire targets the head (60% of attacks) — Goldy absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Goldy targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Whitmire absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whitmire
RND
Goldy
0/0R00/0
Whitmire · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Goldy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Whitmire · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Hannah GoldyRating 1.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Sub · R1
Polyana VianaRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R2
Amanda RibasRating 2.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Aleksandra AlbuRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jamie MoyleRating 4.5Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
Goldy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
MizukiRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · KO · R1
Molly McCannRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Emily WhitmireRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Miranda GrangerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08