METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Heavyweight
VS
94%
Velasquez
6%
Morris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Cain VelasquezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:10
def. Brad Morris · UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
→
Actual result
Velasquez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Velasquez is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Velasquez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 62 points.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morris has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezMorris
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Velasquez
Morris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Morris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
1.6
69.4
Performance Avg
0.0
62
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Velasquez
Morris
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.9
Style: Volume
0.0
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
5Clinch0
26Ground0
Velasquez
Morris
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Velasquez
Morris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Velasquez
Morris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Velasquez
Morris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
10
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Morris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VelasquezMorris
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMorris
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Morris absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Morris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Morris
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Morris · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Jason BrilzKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezKO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04