METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Heavyweight
VS
94%
Velasquez
6%
Morris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Cain VelasquezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:10
def. Brad Morris · UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
→
Actual result
Velasquez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Velasquez is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Velasquez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 62 points.
Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morris has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezMorris
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Velasquez
Morris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Morris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
1.6
69.4
Performance Avg
0.0
62
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Velasquez
Morris
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
0.4
59%
Strike Accuracy
57%
9.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
5Clinch0
26Ground0
Velasquez
Morris
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Velasquez
Morris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Velasquez
Morris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Velasquez
Morris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
10
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Morris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VelasquezMorris
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMorris
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Morris absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Morris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Morris
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Velasquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Morris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Morris · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Jason BrilzRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04