UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2009
Lightweight
VS
61%
Edgar
39%
Sherk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
SS
Sean Sherk
"The Muscle Shark"
36 – 4
Well-Rounded52 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edgar

Edgar holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Sherk has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Edgar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sherk has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Edgar
Sherk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
44+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Sherk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
16.2
48.0
Performance Avg
45.8
39
Quality of Victory
32
68
Momentum Score
65
Edgar
Sherk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
32%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
5
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance8
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Edgar
Sherk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Sherk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
12/40 fights
Edgar
Sherk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
Edgar
Sherk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
13%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar
Sherk
Striking3.5 / 1.3Volume6.1 / 7.3Grappling2.4 / 2.8Wrestling1.6 / 2.0Submission1.1 / 1.3Pressure4.2 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Edgar
Strike Zones
Sherk
Edgar
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Sherk
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sherk absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Sherk targets the head (78% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar
RND
Sherk
0/0R00/0

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Sherk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W4.5W4.0W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.5L4.5W2001-022003-042006-102008-102010-09
WinLossTrend

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Sherk · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Dec · R3
Tyson GriffinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
BJ PennRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R5
Hermes FrancaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Sean Sherk
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