METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
Las Vegas, USA
30 Apr 2022
Heavyweight
VS
65%
Arlovski
35%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
3424
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
1310
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Andrei ArlovskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jake Collier · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
Actual result
Arlovski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Collier has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiCollier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Arlovski
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
26.7
50.5
Performance Avg
36.4
47
Quality of Victory
37
94
Momentum Score
45
Arlovski
Collier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.9
5.3
Style: Volume
5.5
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
29
6
Body
0
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance28
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Arlovski
Collier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Arlovski
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Arlovski
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
40%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Collier
Striking5.0 / 2.7Volume5.3 / 5.5Grappling1.9 / 3.0Wrestling1.4 / 2.1Submission0.9 / 2.0Pressure5.0 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Collier
Arlovski
Attacking
20HEAD6BODY6LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Collier
Attacking
29HEAD0BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD6BODY6LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (63% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (91% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin Buday
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale Mayes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake Collier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed Usman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin Buday
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris Barnett
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei Arlovski
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase Sherman
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Jake Collier
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