UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
Las Vegas, USA
30 Apr 2022
Heavyweight
VS
65%
Arlovski
35%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Collier has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Collier throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
26.7
50.5
Performance Avg
36.4
47
Quality of Victory
37
94
Momentum Score
45
Arlovski
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
29
6
Body
0
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance28
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Arlovski
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Arlovski
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Arlovski
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
40%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Collier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
ArlovskiCollier
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedCollier
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (63% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (91% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Collier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Collier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
