UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Middleweight
VS
73%
Belfort
27%
Akiyama
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Belfort
Belfort is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Belfort has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Striking split: Akiyama throws more volume but Belfort connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Akiyama has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Belfort
Akiyama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
+75"
49+
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Belfort
Akiyama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
8.3
59.2
Performance Avg
26.4
59
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
10
Belfort
Akiyama
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
11 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
3Clinch0
6Ground0
Belfort
Akiyama
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belfort
Akiyama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Belfort
Akiyama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
10
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Belfort
Akiyama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belfort
Akiyama
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
BelfortAkiyama
Strike Zones
Belfort
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAkiyama
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (92% of attacks) — Akiyama absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Akiyama targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belfort
RND
Akiyama
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Akiyama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Akiyama · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alberto MinaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Jake ShieldsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10