UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Heavyweight
VS
30%
Johnson
70%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TJ
Timothy Johnson
12 – 4
6'3"77" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tybura

Tybura is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
42.5
43.1
Performance Avg
45.2
34
Quality of Victory
37
83
Momentum Score
58
Johnson
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
1
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance13
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Johnson
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Johnson
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Johnson
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Tybura
Striking3.6 / 4.0Volume7.1 / 5.7Grappling1.8 / 1.9Wrestling1.3 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure3.5 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Johnson
Strike Zones
Tybura
Johnson
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Tybura
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (78% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.5L4.9W6.8L4.5W1.5L4.5W2015-042016-042017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcelo GolmRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Junior AlbiniRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Timothy Johnson · Marcin Tybura
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