UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Atlanta, USA
21 Apr 2012
Featherweight
VS
54%
Hominick
46%
Yagin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hominick
This is a genuine toss-up — Hominick at 54% vs Yagin at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hominick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Hominick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Hominick
Yagin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hominick
Yagin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
14.2
44.0
Performance Avg
35.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
55
Hominick
Yagin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
27%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
19
4
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
47Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hominick
Yagin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hominick
Yagin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Hominick
Yagin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
55
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hominick
Yagin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hominick
Yagin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
HominickYagin
Strike Zones
Hominick
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedYagin
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hominick targets the head (91% of attacks) — Yagin absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Yagin targets the head (79% of attacks) — Hominick absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hominick
RND
Yagin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hominick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Yagin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hominick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pablo GarzaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 5.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
George RoopRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
Yagin · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Junior AssuncaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09