METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Danaa
5%
Natividad
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:50
★ Official Result
Batgerel DanaawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:50
def. Kevin Natividad · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Danaa
→
Actual result
Danaa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Danaa is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Danaa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Danaa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Danaa's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Natividad has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DanaaNatividad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Danaa
Natividad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danaa
Natividad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
2.4
53.1
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Danaa
Natividad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
0.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
36%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Danaa
Natividad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danaa
Natividad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Danaa
Natividad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Danaa
Natividad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Danaa
Natividad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DanaaNatividad
Strike Zones
Danaa
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNatividad
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Danaa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Natividad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Natividad targets the body (67% of attacks) — Danaa absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Danaa
RND
Natividad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Danaa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Natividad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Danaa · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Brady HiestandRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · KO · R2
Chris GutierrezRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Brandon DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Kevin NatividadRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
Natividad · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10