METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Danaa
5%
Natividad
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:50
★ Official Result
Batgerel DanaawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:50
def. Kevin Natividad · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Danaa
→
Actual result
Danaa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Danaa is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Danaa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Risk flags
Danaa's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Natividad has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DanaaNatividad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Danaa
Natividad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danaa
Natividad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
2.4
53.1
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Danaa
Natividad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.9
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Danaa
Natividad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Danaa
Natividad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Danaa
Natividad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Danaa
Natividad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Danaa
Natividad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DanaaNatividad
Strike Zones
Danaa
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNatividad
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Danaa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Natividad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Natividad targets the body (67% of attacks) — Danaa absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Danaa
RND
Natividad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Danaa · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Brady HiestandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangDecision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · KO · R2
Chris GutierrezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Brandon DavisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Kevin NatividadKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
Natividad · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R3
Miles JohnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10