UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral
Las Vegas, USA
26 Aug 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Schafer
52%
MacDonald
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: MacDonald
This is a genuine toss-up — Schafer at 48% vs MacDonald at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
MacDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Schafer
MacDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+78"
48
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schafer
MacDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
17.7
46.9
Performance Avg
45.7
56
Quality of Victory
54
33
Momentum Score
35
Schafer
MacDonald
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Schafer
MacDonald
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schafer
MacDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Schafer
MacDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Schafer
MacDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schafer
MacDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SchaferMacDonald
Strike Zones
Schafer
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMacDonald
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the legs (57% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯MacDonald targets the head (50% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schafer
RND
MacDonald
0/0R00/0
Schafer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Schafer · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
MacDonald · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Kristian RothaermelRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06
L · Sub · R1
Jason LambertRating 1.5Submission
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03