METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Welterweight
VS
45%
Howard
55%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
★ Official Result
John HowardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01
def. Daniel Roberts · UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Howard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 45% vs Roberts at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HowardRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Howard
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Howard
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
17.0
40.1
Performance Avg
43.7
34
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
49
Howard
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.7
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground6
Howard
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Howard
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Howard
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Howard
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
HowardRoberts
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (67% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredDecision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareDecision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanDecision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickDecision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoSubmission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10