UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Welterweight
VS
45%
Howard
55%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
JH
John Howard
"Doomsday"
24 – 13
5'7"72" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DR
Daniel Roberts
"Ninja"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 45% vs Roberts at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Howard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Howard
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Howard
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
17.0
40.1
Performance Avg
43.7
34
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
49
Howard
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
57%
Strike Accuracy
20%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground6
Howard
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Howard
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Howard
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Howard
Roberts
Striking3.9 / 0.9Volume6.7 / 3.5Grappling1.7 / 6.1Wrestling1.2 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure3.5 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Howard
Strike Zones
Roberts
Howard
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (67% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Howard
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0

Howard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W2.8L2009-012010-082013-122015-072015-12
WinLossTrend

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2010-032010-102011-042012-01
WinLossTrend

Howard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04

Roberts · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonRating 5
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

News & Media

John Howard · Daniel Roberts
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