METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Welterweight
VS
45%
Howard
55%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
★ Official Result
John HowardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01
def. Daniel Roberts · UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Howard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 45% vs Roberts at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Howard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HowardRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Howard
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Howard
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
17.0
40.1
Performance Avg
43.7
34
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
49
Howard
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.4
57%
Strike Accuracy
20%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
7
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground6
Howard
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Howard
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Howard
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
HowardRoberts
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (67% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoRating 5Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonRating 5Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10