UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Welterweight
VS
46%
Roberts
54%
Patrick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DR
Daniel Roberts
"Ninja"
15 – 7
5'10"74" reachSouthpaw45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
CP
Claude Patrick
"The Prince"
14 – 2
Well-Rounded45 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Patrick

This is a genuine toss-up — Roberts at 46% vs Patrick at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Roberts throws more volume but Patrick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Roberts
Patrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Patrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
19.8
43.7
Performance Avg
49.9
44
Quality of Victory
33
49
Momentum Score
79
Roberts
Patrick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.4
20%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Roberts
Patrick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberts
Patrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Roberts
Patrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Roberts
Patrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberts
Patrick
Striking0.9 / 1.5Volume3.5 / 6.8Grappling6.1 / 4.3Wrestling4.3 / 3.0Submission6.7 / 3.3Pressure6.0 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Roberts
Strike Zones
Patrick
Roberts
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Patrick
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the body (50% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Patrick targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberts
RND
Patrick
0/0R00/0

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2010-032010-102011-042012-01
WinLossTrend

Patrick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L2010-062010-102011-042011-12
WinLossTrend

Roberts · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Rich AttonitoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
Greg SotoRating 5
Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Sub · R1
Mike GuymonRating 5
Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

Patrick · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
James WilksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Ricardo FunchRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06

News & Media

Daniel Roberts · Claude Patrick
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