METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Welterweight
VS
45%
Maddalena
55%
Prates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:17
★ Official Result
Carlos PrateswinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:17
def. Jack Della Maddalena · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prates
→
Actual result
Prates wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maddalena at 45% vs Prates at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Prates has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaddalenaPrates
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maddalena
Prates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+78"
29+
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
Maddalena
Prates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
79.6
59.9
Performance Avg
70.6
46
Quality of Victory
59
80
Momentum Score
100
Maddalena
Prates
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
2.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
39
0
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance32
0Clinch1
0Ground13
Maddalena
Prates
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maddalena
Prates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/31 fights
Maddalena
Prates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Maddalena
Prates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maddalena
Prates
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
MaddalenaPrates
Strike Zones
Maddalena
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedPrates
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maddalena targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prates absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prates targets the head (85% of attacks) — Maddalena absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maddalena
RND
Prates
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Maddalena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Prates · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.2WinLossTrend
Maddalena · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
Prates · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Leon EdwardsRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11