UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Welterweight
VS
45%
Maddalena
55%
Prates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:17
JD
Jack Della Maddalena
18 – 4
5'11"73" reachSwitch29 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 64
Carlos
Carlos Prates
"The Nightmare"
24 – 7
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak32 yrsSwitch78" reach6'1"
CFR 80

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Prates

This is a genuine toss-up — Maddalena at 45% vs Prates at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Prates has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Maddalena
Prates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+78"
29+
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
Maddalena
Prates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
79.6
59.9
Performance Avg
70.6
46
Quality of Victory
59
80
Momentum Score
100
Maddalena
Prates
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
39
0
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance32
0Clinch1
0Ground13
Maddalena
Prates
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maddalena
Prates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/31 fights
Maddalena
Prates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Maddalena
Prates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maddalena
Prates
Striking6.6 / 10.0Volume4.6 / 1.8Grappling1.9 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 9.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
Maddalena
Strike Zones
Prates
Maddalena
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD3BODY4LEGS46 absorbed
Prates
Attacking
39HEAD3BODY4LEGS46 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maddalena targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prates absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prates targets the head (85% of attacks) — Maddalena absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maddalena
RND
Prates
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Maddalena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.7W5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W5.1W5.7W5.6W7.5L5.0L2022-012023-022024-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Prates · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0105.5W6.2W6.0W5.6W7.0L6.0W6.4W6.7W2024-022024-082025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Maddalena · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Prates · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Leon EdwardsRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

News & Media

Jack Della Maddalena · Carlos Prates
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