★ Championship Bout · Interim Welterweight
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Interim Welterweight
VS
39%
Anjos
61%
Covington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Colby
Colby Covington
"Chaos"
17 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Covington

Covington holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Anjos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anjos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Covington has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Covington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anjos
Covington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
61.2
47.7
Performance Avg
53.2
41
Quality of Victory
42
49
Momentum Score
100
Anjos
Covington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
4
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance19
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Anjos
Covington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Covington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Anjos
Covington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R5
Anjos
Covington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
42%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Covington
Striking3.1 / 3.9Volume5.7 / 6.1Grappling3.3 / 2.7Wrestling2.3 / 1.9Submission2.4 / 1.7Pressure4.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Anjos
Strike Zones
Covington
Anjos
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Covington
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (71% of attacks) — Covington absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Covington targets the head (65% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Covington
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Covington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5W4.5W1.7L5.5W6.1W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.7W4.8W5.1L5.5W6.6L4.5W6.6L5.9L2014-082016-082019-082023-122024-12
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Covington · Last 5

L · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
W · KO · R5
Tyron WoodleyRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Colby Covington
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