Rafael Dos Anjos vs Colby Covington — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Interim Welterweight

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

Chicago, USA

9 Jun 2018

Interim Welterweight

44%

Anjos

56%

Covington

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Rafael Dos Anjos

32 – 17

5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 43

Colby Covington

"Chaos"

17 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Colby CovingtonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Covington

→

Actual result

Covington wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 44% vs Covington at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Covington has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AnjosCovington

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Anjos

Covington

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'11"

70"

Reach

+72"

Age

+38

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Anjos

Covington

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.1

55.0

47.7

Performance Avg

53.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Anjos

Covington

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

5.0

5.7

Style: Volume

6.1

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

14Distance19

3Clinch1

0Ground0

Anjos

Covington

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

2.7

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

2.4

Submission Style (/10)

1.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Anjos

Covington

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R5.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/49 fights

Chin rating based on

17/22 fights

Anjos

Covington

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R5

Anjos

Covington

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

43%

42%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos

Covington

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.9

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.7

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

2.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.7

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.1

Anjos

Strike Zones

Covington

Anjos

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Covington

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Anjos targets the head (71% of attacks) — Covington absorbs 71% of strikes there

🎯Covington targets the head (65% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos

RND

Covington

0/0R00/0

Anjos · Last 5

Upcoming

Alexander Hernandez

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Mateusz Gamrot

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

L · Dec · R5

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

W · Sub · R2

Bryan Barberena

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

Covington · Last 5

L · R3

Joaquin Buckley

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

L · Dec · R5

Leon Edwards

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

W · Dec · R5

Jorge Masvidal

Decision

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03

L · Dec · R5

Kamaru Usman

Decision

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

W · KO · R5

Tyron Woodley

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Colby Covington

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