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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
47%
Rodriguez
53%
Lucindo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
176
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Iasmin
Iasmin Lucindo
186
Well-Rounded24 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'3"
CFR 54
★ Official Result
Iasmin LucindowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marina Rodriguez · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lucindo
Actual result
Lucindo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 47% vs Lucindo at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezLucindo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
+66"
39
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
53.8
41.7
Performance Avg
46.5
34
Quality of Victory
30
83
Momentum Score
81
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.8
Style: Volume
7.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance7
1Clinch0
2Ground2
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Lucindo
Striking3.9 / 1.4Volume6.8 / 7.8Grappling1.7 / 3.5Wrestling1.2 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Lucindo
Rodriguez
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Lucindo
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lucindo absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lucindo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Lucindo
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian Robertson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin Lucindo
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica Andrade
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna Jandiroba
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Lucindo · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Angela Hill
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda Lemos
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Marina Rodriguez
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Sub · R2
Polyana Viana
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Iasmin Lucindo
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