UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Salt Lake City, USA
5 Oct 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
47%
Rodriguez
53%
Lucindo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Iasmin
Iasmin Lucindo
18 – 6
Well-Rounded24 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'3"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lucindo

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 47% vs Lucindo at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez
Lucindo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
+66"
39
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
53.8
41.7
Performance Avg
46.5
34
Quality of Victory
30
83
Momentum Score
81
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance7
1Clinch0
2Ground2
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Rodriguez
Lucindo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Lucindo
Striking3.9 / 1.4Volume6.8 / 7.8Grappling1.7 / 3.5Wrestling1.2 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Lucindo
Rodriguez
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Lucindo
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Lucindo absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Lucindo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Lucindo
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Lucindo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.8L4.5W5.5W4.5W5.2W6.6L4.6W2022-082023-082024-102025-08
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Lucindo · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Sub · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Iasmin Lucindo
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