UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2023
Welterweight
VS
38%
Morono
62%
Buckley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buckley
Buckley holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Morono has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Buckley connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Morono
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Morono
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
58.0
43.3
Performance Avg
50.6
35
Quality of Victory
41
20
Momentum Score
100
Morono
Buckley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
25
4
Body
14
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance28
3Clinch1
0Ground11
Morono
Buckley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morono
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Morono
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Morono
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Buckley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MoronoBuckley
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedBuckley
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (69% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the head (63% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05