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UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2023
Welterweight
VS
38%
Morono
62%
Buckley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Alex
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24 – 13
5'11"72" reachOrthodox35 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Joaquin
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
21 – 8
Striker2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw76" reach5'10"
CFR 58
β˜… Official Result
Joaquin BuckleywinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Alex Morono Β· UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Buckley
β†’
Actual result
Buckley wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Buckley holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings β€” but Morono has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Buckley connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Buckley has a chin rating of 28 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoronoBuckley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Morono
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Morono
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
58.0
43.3
Performance Avg
50.6
35
Quality of Victory
41
20
Momentum Score
100
Morono
Buckley
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
25
4
Body
14
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance28
3Clinch1
0Ground11
Morono
Buckley
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morono
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Morono
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Morono
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morono
Buckley
Striking2.7 / 6.8Volume6.7 / 3.5Grappling2.9 / 0.7Wrestling2.0 / 0.5Submission1.5 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Morono
Strike Zones
Buckley
Morono
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD14BODY1LEGS40 absorbed
Buckley
Attacking
25HEAD14BODY1LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (69% of attacks) β€” Buckley absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the head (63% of attacks) β€” Morono absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Morono
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0

Morono Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.9W5.0W5.1W2.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5L5.3W6.7L4.7W6.2L6.4L2.3L7.8L2016-012019-032021-092024-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Buckley Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.6L5.2W5.2W1.5L5.5W6.0W4.2W6.9L3.5L5.2W4.5W6.7W6.4W6.1W5.6W6.6L6.6L2020-082022-022023-102025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Morono Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
L Β· KO Β· R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Β· 2025-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 Β· 2024-04

Buckley Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley Β· 2025-06
W Β· R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Β· 2024-12
W Β· KO Β· R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. Β· 2024-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento Β· 2024-05

News & Media

Alex Morono Β· Joaquin Buckley
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