METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2023
Flyweight
VS
93%
Maness
7%
Mendonca
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Nate ManesswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:40
def. Mateus Mendonca · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maness
→
Actual result
Maness wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Maness is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Maness has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ManessMendonca
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maness
Mendonca
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
72"+
Reach
71"
35
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maness
Mendonca
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.7
4.4
54.3
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Maness
Mendonca
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.6
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
0
2
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
2Clinch2
26Ground0
Maness
Mendonca
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maness
Mendonca
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Maness
Mendonca
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Maness
Mendonca
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maness
Mendonca
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ManessMendonca
Strike Zones
Maness
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMendonca
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maness targets the head (90% of attacks) — Mendonca absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Mendonca targets the body (67% of attacks) — Maness absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maness
RND
Mendonca
0/0R00/0
Maness · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mateus MendoncaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Tagir UlanbekovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · KO · R2
Tony GravelyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
Mendonca · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Nate ManessKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01