METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Rakic
50%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aleksandar RakicwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marcin Tybura · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rakic
→
Actual result
Rakic wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rakic at 50% vs Tybura at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Rakic's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RakicTybura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rakic
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rakic
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.3
39.0
44.3
Performance Avg
44.3
35
Quality of Victory
37
30
Momentum Score
43
Rakic
Tybura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
4.2
6.9
Style: Volume
5.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
6
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance6
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Rakic
Tybura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rakic
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Rakic
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Rakic
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
36%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rakic
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
RakicTybura
Strike Zones
Rakic
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTybura
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rakic targets the head (47% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rakic
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

