METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
45%
Pitolo
55%
Kasanganay
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Impa KasanganaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maki Pitolo · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kasanganay
→
Actual result
Kasanganay wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pitolo at 45% vs Kasanganay at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pitolo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Pitolo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pitolo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kasanganay has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PitoloKasanganay
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
25.5
39.7
Performance Avg
42.3
55
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
57
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
38%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
21
3
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
57
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
PitoloKasanganay
Strike Zones
Pitolo
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedKasanganay
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pitolo targets the head (86% of attacks) — Kasanganay absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Kasanganay targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pitolo
RND
Kasanganay
0/0R00/0
Pitolo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Kasanganay · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezRating 4.5Submission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Kasanganay · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
W · Sub · R2
Sasha PalatnikovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08