METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
45%
Pitolo
55%
Kasanganay
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Impa KasanganaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Maki Pitolo · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kasanganay
→
Actual result
Kasanganay wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pitolo at 45% vs Kasanganay at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pitolo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Pitolo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kasanganay has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PitoloKasanganay
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
25.5
39.7
Performance Avg
42.3
55
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
57
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
0.3
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
21
3
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
57
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pitolo
Kasanganay
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
PitoloKasanganay
Strike Zones
Pitolo
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedKasanganay
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pitolo targets the head (86% of attacks) — Kasanganay absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Kasanganay targets the head (78% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pitolo
RND
Kasanganay
0/0R00/0
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdKO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Kasanganay · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
W · Sub · R2
Sasha PalatnikovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08