UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Heavyweight
VS
74%
Nzechukwu
26%
Brzeski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nzechukwu
Nzechukwu is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nzechukwu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Nzechukwu has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nzechukwu's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brzeski has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
83"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
21.3
53.2
Performance Avg
20.7
51
Quality of Victory
25
88
Momentum Score
30
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
2.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
10
Body
6
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
26Distance32
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nzechukwu
Brzeski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
NzechukwuBrzeski
Strike Zones
Nzechukwu
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedBrzeski
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the head (66% of attacks) — Brzeski absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Brzeski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nzechukwu
RND
Brzeski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nzechukwu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Brzeski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Nzechukwu · Last 5
Upcoming
Marcus BuchechaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Chris BarnettRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Brzeski · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Mick ParkinRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Valter WalkerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08