METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
44%
Whittaker
56%
Aliskerov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:49
★ Official Result
Robert WhittakerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:49
def. Ikram Aliskerov · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aliskerov
→
Actual result
Whittaker wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 44% vs Aliskerov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aliskerov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerAliskerov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
68.7
56.0
Performance Avg
62.8
46
Quality of Victory
51
71
Momentum Score
88
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
62%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
WhittakerAliskerov
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAliskerov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Aliskerov absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Aliskerov targets the head (60% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Aliskerov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Aliskerov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Aliskerov · Last 5
Upcoming
Brunno FerreiraUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Warlley AlvesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10