UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
44%
Whittaker
56%
Aliskerov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:49
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Ikram
Ikram Aliskerov
17 – 2
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"
CFR 69

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aliskerov

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 44% vs Aliskerov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aliskerov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Whittaker
Aliskerov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+76"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
68.7
56.0
Performance Avg
62.8
46
Quality of Victory
51
71
Momentum Score
88
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
62%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Whittaker
Aliskerov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Aliskerov
Striking5.0 / 9.1Volume6.6 / 3.6Grappling1.6 / 0.6Wrestling1.1 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Aliskerov
Whittaker
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Aliskerov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Aliskerov absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Aliskerov targets the head (60% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Aliskerov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Aliskerov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.2W2.4L5.9W5.6W2023-052023-102024-062025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Aliskerov · Last 5

Upcoming
Brunno Ferreira
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Warlley AlvesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Ikram Aliskerov
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