METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Flyweight
VS
94%
Dodson
6%
Montague
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:13
★ Official Result
John DodsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:13
def. Darrell Montague · UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dodson
→
Actual result
Dodson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Dodson is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Dodson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Montague has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DodsonMontague
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dodson
Montague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dodson
Montague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
1.5
50.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Dodson
Montague
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
22%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
7
6
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance10
10Clinch0
2Ground0
Dodson
Montague
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Montague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Dodson
Montague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Dodson
Montague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dodson
Montague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DodsonMontague
Strike Zones
Dodson
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMontague
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Montague absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Montague targets the head (70% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dodson
RND
Montague
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Dodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Montague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Dodson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Montague · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Willie GatesRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10