UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
45%
Kopylov
55%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Roman
Roman Kopylov
15 – 5
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrsStriker
CFR 54
Gregory
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
19 – 6
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 67

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodrigues

This is a genuine toss-up — Kopylov at 45% vs Rodrigues at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodrigues has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kopylov
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kopylov
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
66.6
50.3
Performance Avg
59.3
45
Quality of Victory
48
58
Momentum Score
100
Kopylov
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
21
4
Body
11
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance33
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kopylov
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kopylov
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Kopylov
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Kopylov
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kopylov
Rodrigues
Striking8.3 / 8.5Volume3.5 / 3.9Grappling0.7 / 0.7Wrestling0.5 / 0.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Kopylov
Strike Zones
Rodrigues
Kopylov
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD11BODY1LEGS33 absorbed
Rodrigues
Attacking
21HEAD11BODY1LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kopylov targets the head (65% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kopylov
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0

Kopylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.0L5.5L5.5W6.2W5.6W5.2W4.2L5.6W6.2W6.5L7.1L5.8W2019-112023-012024-022025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Rodrigues · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.9W6.3W5.5L5.5W6.4W3.1L5.1W5.5W6.0W4.3L5.9W5.5W6.6W2021-062022-092024-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Kopylov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Rodrigues · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Roman Kopylov · Gregory Rodrigues
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