UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Middleweight
VS
21%
Perez
79%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hernandez
Hernandez is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Perez throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hernandez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perez
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
63.7
42.5
Performance Avg
56.2
52
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
98
Perez
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
66%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Perez
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perez
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Perez
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Perez
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Hernandez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
PerezHernandez
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHernandez
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
Hernandez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02