UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Featherweight
VS
58%
Jason
42%
Kennedy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RJ
Rony Jason
14 – 7
5'7"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
JK
Jeremy Kennedy
"JBC"
11 – 1
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jason

This is a genuine toss-up — Jason at 58% vs Kennedy at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Striking split: Jason throws more volume but Kennedy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Jason
Kennedy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Kennedy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
16.8
60.4
Performance Avg
45.0
67
Quality of Victory
25
72
Momentum Score
72
Jason
Kennedy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
3Ground17
Jason
Kennedy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jason
Kennedy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Jason
Kennedy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jason
Kennedy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jason
Kennedy
Striking6.0 / 1.5Volume3.0 / 9.5Grappling2.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.8 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Jason
Strike Zones
Kennedy
Jason
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD0BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Kennedy
Attacking
19HEAD0BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Kennedy targets the head (95% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jason
RND
Kennedy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jason · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.0L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2012-062013-062014-032016-082017-03
WinLossTrend

Kennedy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.2L2016-082017-032017-072018-02
WinLossTrend

Jason · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Kennedy · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyle BochniakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Alex RicciRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

News & Media

Rony Jason · Jeremy Kennedy
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