UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Welterweight
VS
45%
Araujo
55%
Sullivan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:31
IA
Igor Araujo
25 – 9
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
GS
George Sullivan
"The Silencer"
17 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sullivan

This is a genuine toss-up — Araujo at 45% vs Sullivan at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sullivan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Sullivan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sullivan has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Araujo
Sullivan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Araujo
Sullivan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
16.1
35.0
Performance Avg
38.1
25
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
79
Araujo
Sullivan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Araujo
Sullivan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Araujo
Sullivan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Araujo
Sullivan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Araujo
Sullivan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Araujo
Sullivan
Striking1.0 / 4.2Volume9.0 / 6.2Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Araujo
Strike Zones
Sullivan
Araujo
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Sullivan
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Araujo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sullivan absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Sullivan targets the head (69% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Araujo
RND
Sullivan
0/0R00/0

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W2.8L6.6L2013-102014-032014-092015-07
WinLossTrend

Sullivan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0104.5W5.2W4.1L4.5W1.5L3.4L2.0L2014-012015-042016-012018-08
WinLossTrend

Araujo · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
George SullivanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Danny MitchellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

Sullivan · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · Sub · R2
Niko PriceRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander YakovlevRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Dominic WatersRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04

News & Media

Igor Araujo · George Sullivan
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