METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Welterweight
VS
45%
Araujo
55%
Sullivan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:31
★ Official Result
George SullivanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:31
def. Igor Araujo · UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sullivan
→
Actual result
Sullivan wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Araujo at 45% vs Sullivan at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sullivan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Sullivan has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AraujoSullivan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Araujo
Sullivan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Araujo
Sullivan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
16.1
35.0
Performance Avg
38.1
25
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
79
Araujo
Sullivan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
3.6
9.0
Style: Volume
6.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Araujo
Sullivan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Araujo
Sullivan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Araujo
Sullivan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Araujo
Sullivan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Araujo
Sullivan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
AraujoSullivan
Strike Zones
Araujo
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSullivan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Araujo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sullivan absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Sullivan targets the head (69% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Araujo
RND
Sullivan
0/0R00/0
Araujo · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
George SullivanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Danny MitchellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Sullivan · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · Sub · R2
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander YakovlevKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Dominic WatersDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
Tim MeansSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04