UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Middleweight
VS
48%
Belfort
52%
Mousasi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:43
VB
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
26 – 14
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw49 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 22
GM
Gegard Mousasi
42 – 6
Striker5-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mousasi

This is a genuine toss-up — Belfort at 48% vs Mousasi at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Belfort has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Mousasi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mousasi has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Belfort
Mousasi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
49
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Belfort
Mousasi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
23.5
59.2
Performance Avg
59.2
59
Quality of Victory
49
91
Momentum Score
100
Belfort
Mousasi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
11 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
34
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance12
1Clinch12
0Ground14
Belfort
Mousasi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belfort
Mousasi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
12/48 fights
Belfort
Mousasi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
100
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Belfort
Mousasi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
67%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belfort
Mousasi
Striking8.5 / 7.1Volume1.7 / 4.2Grappling1.2 / 1.7Wrestling0.9 / 1.2Submission1.3 / 1.1Pressure7.9 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Belfort
Strike Zones
Mousasi
Belfort
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD1BODY3LEGS38 absorbed
Mousasi
Attacking
34HEAD1BODY3LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mousasi targets the head (89% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Belfort
RND
Mousasi
0/0R00/0

Belfort · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.0W4.8L5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.2L5.1W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W2.8L1997-022003-062012-012016-052018-05
WinLossTrend

Mousasi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W6.1W2013-042014-092015-092016-102017-04
WinLossTrend

Belfort · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Mousasi · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

News & Media

Vitor Belfort · Gegard Mousasi
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