UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
Houston, USA
4 Feb 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
77%
Pennington
23%
Rawlings
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pennington
Pennington is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rawlings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Rawlings throws more volume but Pennington connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Pennington
Rawlings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
60"
Reach
+64"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Rawlings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
15.0
39.8
Performance Avg
35.1
28
Quality of Victory
40
89
Momentum Score
53
Pennington
Rawlings
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
11
4
Body
5
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
38Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Pennington
Rawlings
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Rawlings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Pennington
Rawlings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
53
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Pennington
Rawlings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Rawlings
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PenningtonRawlings
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedRawlings
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (63% of attacks) — Rawlings absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Rawlings targets the head (65% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Rawlings
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Rawlings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
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Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
Rawlings · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ashlee Evans-SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03