METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Featherweight
VS
51%
Woodson
49%
Padilla
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:58
★ Official Result
Sean WoodsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:58
def. Fernando Padilla · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Woodson
→
Actual result
Woodson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Woodson at 51% vs Padilla at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Padilla has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Woodson's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WoodsonPadilla
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Woodson
Padilla
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
76"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodson
Padilla
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
54.1
52.2
Performance Avg
54.2
34
Quality of Victory
57
84
Momentum Score
58
Woodson
Padilla
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
8.5
7.6
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
14
0
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
36Distance17
0Clinch5
2Ground0
Woodson
Padilla
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodson
Padilla
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Woodson
Padilla
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
58
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Woodson
Padilla
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodson
Padilla
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
WoodsonPadilla
Strike Zones
Woodson
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedPadilla
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodson targets the head (92% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Padilla targets the head (64% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodson
RND
Padilla
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Woodson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Sean WoodsonKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
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